The Rise of the Chinese Consumer: Theory and Evidence

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Chinese consumer attitude and purchase intent towards green products

Challenger Banks Financial Economics Study notes. Popular Content. Added to your Shopping Cart! Prior to the reforms, nearly four in five Chinese worked in agriculture; by , only one in two did. Reforms expanded property rights in the countryside and touched off a race to form small nonagricultural businesses in rural areas. Decollectivization and higher prices for agricultural products also led to more productive family farms and more efficient use of labor. Together these forces induced many workers to move out of agriculture. The resulting rapid growth of village enterprises has drawn tens of millions of people from traditional agriculture into higher-value-added manufacturing.

Further, the post reforms granted greater autonomy to enterprise managers. They became more free to set their own production goals, sell some products in the private market at competitive prices, grant bonuses to good workers and fire bad ones, and retain some portion of the firm's earnings for future investment. The reforms also gave greater room for private ownership of production, and these privately held businesses created jobs, developed much-wanted consumer products, earned important hard currency through foreign trade, paid state taxes, and gave the national economy a flexibility and resiliency that it did not have before.

By welcoming foreign investment, China's open-door policy has added power to the economic transformation. This foreign money has built factories, created jobs, linked China to international markets, and led to important transfers of technology. These trends are especially apparent in the more than one dozen open coastal areas where foreign investors enjoy tax advantages. In addition, economic liberalization has boosted exports--which rose 19 percent a year during Strong export growth, in turn, appears to have fueled productivity growth in domestic industries.

In one final area, price reform, the Chinese have proceeded cautiously, granting a fair amount of autonomy to producers of consumer goods and agricultural products but much less to other sectors. Several bouts of inflation have buffeted the Chinese economy in the past two decades, deterring the government from implementing full-scale price liberalization.

High rates of growth also raise inflationary worries.

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Inflation may pose the single greatest threat to Chinese growth, though thus far it has been largely contained. As with any national economy, China has unique characteristics that the researcher must properly account for. First, many researchers cite the periodic political crises that seized China before as a factor obscuring pre economic strength. Because the political climate in China was so much in flux, these commentators argue, the economic pictures before and after cannot be compared with any accuracy. This proposition was evaluated by dropping from the analysis the subperiod, which encompasses the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution.

The result is that pre productivity increased only modestly as a result, from 1. Second, in the period Chinese central planners invested heavily in the urban industrial sector and restricted migration from the country into the cities. Could the abandonment of this policy after itself explain the strong performance of the economy?

Tyler Cowen: The Rise and Fall of the Chinese Economy

Did these sectoral shifts drive growth, or did productivity? In the event, although these sectoral shifts are important, they do not eliminate the independent rise in productivity associated with the reforms. Third, some commentators maintain that if the productivity growth was a one-time shot of adrenaline to the body economic, it is certainly not sustainable. In fact, productivity gains have been steady throughout and even increased during If the post-reform period is broken into three distinct phases, each associated with a different set of reforms, sizable productivity gains are evident in each subperiod.

This indicates that the Chinese were able to carry over initial productivity gains to other parts of the economy. Finally, one can scrutinize the analysis for measurement problems.

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Center for a New American Security. Davis, Colleen Dougherty, Jason d. Emmons, R. In , China became the world's largest automotive vehicle manufacturer as well as the largest consumer ahead of the United States with an estimated 18 million new cars sold. It will make her first new dress in five years. However, after Mao Zedong 's death in , these efforts were scaled back.

In particular, are the capital-stock data calculated properly and were there any measurement errors relating to the input data? Regarding the capital-stock measurement, since the Chinese national income statistics exclude the value of residential housing and since outlays for new housing rose during , the investment figures should be adjusted accordingly.

When this is done, there is no change to the pre productivity growth estimate and a modest increase in the post-reform productivity growth rate, which corroborates the general story. Could an overvaluation of the initial capital stock have biased the findings? More conservative estimates of the capital stock were used to re-analyze the data, but there is no strong evidence to refute the findings. Although the pre productivity gains become negative, the post-reform productivity rate is unaffected. Another more significant problem with capital-stock data is that Chinese asset surveys do not produce capital stock estimates consistent with the investment data in the national accounts.

The difficulties of bridging this statistical gap are considerable. Log In Sign Up.

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Rise Of The Chinese Consumer Theory And Evidence Read Download PDF/Audiobook id:kzufoqf lkui

The Rise of the Chinese Consumer: Theory and Evidence [Jonathan Garner] on ykoketomel.ml *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. In this book Jonathan. Editorial Reviews. Review. "This authoritative volume 'oozes' impact. It is informative, highly The Rise of the Chinese Consumer: Theory and Evidence - Kindle edition by Jonathan Garner. Download it once and read it on your Kindle device.

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